Description
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three systems in the Atlantic, including Tropical Storm Erin, which is expected to become the first hurricane of the season.
Tropical Storm Erin
Tropical Storm Erin developed Monday morning and has maintained maximum sustained winds of nearly 45 mph.
As of the latest advisory, Erin is about 430 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands as it moves closer to the area through Monday. It is expected to strengthen into the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane season by midweek.
It will be near the Windward Islands by Friday, and forecast models show Erin strengthening into a major hurricane this weekend.
Forecast models are still in fairly good agreement that Erin will make a turn to the north-northwest throughout the weekend, with a more northern trajectory into midweek next week.
Most models show Erin passing between Bermuda and the East Coast (closer to Bermuda) around midweek next week (Aug. 20).
Invest 96-L
This is a fizzling tropical wave in drier air. Conditions are not favorable for development and may slightly improve next week as it curves away from the U.S.
Chance of formation through the next 48 hours: 10%
Chance of formation through the next 7 days: 10%
Disturbance in the Northwestern Atlantic
The National Hurricane Center is also now monitoring a disturbance in the Atlantic, located a few hundred miles to the south-southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada.
The system is expected to move northward over cooler waters by the middle of the week, ending its chances of further tropical development.
Chance of formation through the next 48 hours: 10%
Chance of formation through the next 7 days: 10%
At this time, none of these systems poses a direct threat to land, but we’ll continue to monitor all areas closely in the coming days.